Colombia's Ecommerce Boom Strains Air Cargo Capacity

What if air cargo rates to Colombia increase by 20-30% due to capacity constraints?

Simulate a scenario where elevated demand for limited air freight capacity in Colombia drives average freight rates up by 20-30% over the next 2-3 months. Model the cost impact across your ecommerce import portfolio, including effects on landed costs, margin compression, and potential pass-through to end consumers. Evaluate sourcing alternatives or modal shifts to ocean freight with longer lead times.

What if space availability on flights to Colombia tightens to 70% booking levels?

Model a scenario where increased demand fills most available seats on inbound flights to Colombia, leaving only 70% of typical capacity accessible to your shipments. Simulate the service level impact: longer booking windows required, potential shipment delays, and need for expedited bookings at premium rates. Assess inventory buffer requirements if your lead times extend by 3-5 days.

What if you shift 15-20% of Colombia imports from air to slower ocean freight?

Evaluate a modal rebalancing strategy where you redirect 15-20% of air-shipped goods to ocean freight to avoid capacity premiums. Model the trade-offs: extended lead times (2-3 weeks additional), lower per-unit transportation costs, and impact on inventory carrying costs and safety stock. Identify which SKUs can tolerate longer transit times without service level degradation.