Major PVC Producer Backs UP-NS Merger, Short Lines Warn of Harm

What if the UP-NS merger is approved without guardrails on short-line access?

Simulate the impact on carload costs and service levels for a mid-sized chemical or manufacturing shipper that depends on short-line rail connections to reach major trunk routes. Model reduced short-line viability, higher interchange fees, slower handoff times, and decreased service frequency. Compare total landed costs and lead times to eastern U.S. markets under a consolidated UP-NS network versus the current fragmented carrier structure.

What if single-line UP-NS service reduces transit times to eastern markets by 2-3 days?

Model the competitive advantage for large captive UP shippers like Shintech if single-line service to eastern U.S. destinations reduces transit time by 2-3 days compared to current intercarrier handoffs. Simulate the impact on inventory carrying costs, order fulfillment windows, and pricing power for PVC and specialty chemical products moving to East Coast markets and ports.

What if Surface Transportation Board imposes interchange service standards that protect short-line viability?

Simulate the scenario where the STB approves the merger but mandates service standards and eliminates artificial barriers limiting short-line interchange options. Model the impact on carload rates, service quality, and competitive options for shippers of all sizes. Compare this regulated scenario to an unregulated post-merger environment to assess whether guardrails can preserve supply chain competition.