US-China trade data gaps expose widespread tariff evasion schemes

What if customs enforcement increases shipment inspection rates by 40% on Chinese imports?

Simulate the impact of heightened US Customs inspection protocols targeting high-risk Chinese import categories. Assume 40% increase in inspection rates, adding 3-5 days of clearance delay per shipment, requiring expanded documentation, and increasing logistics costs by 2-4%. Model effects on lead times from China, inventory levels needed to buffer delays, and total landed costs across product categories.

What if tariff penalties force suppliers to raise prices 8-12% to maintain margins?

Simulate the pricing and sourcing implications if Chinese suppliers factor in potential tariff penalties and audit costs, raising quoted prices 8-12% to compensate. Model the impact on procurement costs, gross margins by product line, make-versus-buy decisions, and sourcing diversification scenarios. Assess which product categories are most vulnerable to price increases and where alternative suppliers could absorb volume.

What if transshipment routes through third countries face new restrictions?

Model the impact of new US regulations limiting imports via third-country transshipment from China. Assume certain transshipment hubs (Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia) face enhanced scrutiny or new restrictions, forcing direct routing from China. Simulate effects on transit times, port capacity at primary US entry points, freight costs, and the need for supply chain rerouting.