Driverless Trucks Could Match Conventional Costs by 2028

Nov 13, 2026

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The signal

A Kearney report projects that driverless trucks could achieve cost parity with conventional trucking by 2028.

This milestone would mark a critical inflection point in supply chain economics, signaling that autonomous trucking has moved from experimental technology to economically viable solution.

Supply chain leaders should begin evaluating implications for driver recruitment, fleet composition, and long-haul logistics strategy.

#autonomous-trucks

#driverless-vehicles

#trucking-costs

#supply-chain-technology

#labor-automation

#fleet-economics

#logistics-innovation

What This Means for Your Supply Chain

Simulation Suggestion

strategic

What if autonomous trucks achieve cost parity with conventional fleets by 2028?

Model the impact of a significant shift toward autonomous trucking on long-haul transportation costs, driver demand, and fleet capacity utilization. Assume mixed adoption across carriers and regions, with autonomous vehicles capturing increasing share of over-the-road movements.

Run this scenario

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