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Fuel Prices Top Trucking Concerns for First Time in 3 Years

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The signal

The American Transportation Research Institute's annual survey of top trucking industry concerns has placed fuel prices at the #1 position overall for the first time since 2023, marking a significant shift in industry priorities. Diesel prices reached a record high of $6.529 per gallon in September 2026, making this the most expensive fuel cycle in the Energy Information Administration's historical data. What's particularly notable is that fuel prices didn't even appear in the top 10 concerns during 2024 and 2025, suggesting the recent price spike has created genuine operational stress across the industry. The survey results reveal a striking divergence between carrier and driver priorities.

While both groups ranked fuel prices as a top concern (first for drivers, second for carriers), they diverge significantly on other issues. Drivers placed truck parking as their second priority, while carriers ranked it outside the top 10. Conversely, lawsuit abuse topped carriers' concerns but didn't reach drivers' top 10. This gap underscores how fuel surcharges and other mechanisms don't fully shield carriers from cost pressures, contradicting conventional wisdom in the industry.

The survey also highlights growing concern about Compliance Safety Accountability (CSA) scores, now ranked #3 overall, largely driven by the Supreme Court's Montgomery ruling. This decision has created liability concerns for freight brokers, making CSA scores and documented safety credentials critical for carrier selection and legal defense. Driver compensation remains elevated, appearing at #3 for carriers this year, signaling renewed pressure on labor costs amid operational challenges.

Frequently Asked Questions

What This Means for Your Supply Chain

Simulation Suggestion
strategic

What if diesel prices remain above $6.00 per gallon for the next 12 months?

Model sustained elevated diesel costs at $6.00-$6.50 per gallon throughout 2026, assuming fuel surcharges capture only 70-80% of incremental cost increases. Simulate impact on carrier margins, driver retention rates, and freight pricing by lane and distance. Model how shipper behavior changes if freight rates increase 12-15% due to fuel pass-through.

Run this scenario
Simulation Suggestion
this month

What if driver wages must increase 8-12% to offset fuel price volatility and parking constraints?

Model driver compensation increases of 8-12% driven by competitive pressure to retain talent amid fuel cost concerns and truck parking availability issues. Simulate cascading effect on carrier operating costs, freight rate inflation, and shipper procurement strategies. Model impact on recruitment and retention rates by carrier size and region.

Run this scenario
Simulation Suggestion
this month

What if CSA enforcement disparities widen post-Montgomery, creating regional rate volatility?

Model scenario where FMCSA enforcement varies significantly by region, creating a fragmented carrier safety profile landscape. Simulate impact on broker carrier selection, freight rates for carriers with marginal CSA scores, and litigation risk premiums. Model how stricter regional enforcement in certain states drives carrier avoidance, creating capacity bottlenecks.

Run this scenario

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