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Truck Jobs Jump 4,800 in August, But Longer Trend Still Weak

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The signal

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a notable spike of 4,800 truck transportation jobs in August, bringing total employment to 1,470,300, the highest level since October. However, this single-month rebound masks a softer underlying trend: the sector remains approximately 10,000 jobs below year-ago levels. Long-haul truckload driver employment shows slightly more resilience with 501,400 positions in July (up nearly 5,000 since January), yet still trails the 505,300 jobs from a year prior and significantly lags the 553,600 peak reached in October 2022.

Less-than-truckload (LTL) hiring remains anemic, with only 100 new positions added month-over-month to reach 247,100 jobs. Most concerning for supply chain professionals is the continued deterioration in warehouse employment, which has now declined for two consecutive months and sits 32,000 jobs below year-ago levels, a sharp reversal from the March 2022 peak of 1,939,300 positions. Industry analysts caution against reading too much into a single month's gains, noting that April's similar 5,000-job surge was largely offset by subsequent declines.

Driver pay data from Superior Payroll shows some stabilization, with the driver pay index at 158.08 in August compared to 148.88 a year earlier, though turnover has normalized to single-digit levels after spending most of the prior year in double digits.

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