US Ban on Canadian Imports Threatens Supply Chain Stability

What if Canadian supplier availability drops by 40% due to import restrictions?

Model a scenario where access to Canadian suppliers decreases by 40% across automotive, agriculture, and energy sectors. Simulate the impact on procurement lead times, safety stock requirements, transportation costs to alternative suppliers (e.g., Mexico, US domestic), and service level targets. Identify critical SKUs and categories requiring immediate sourcing diversification.

What if tariff costs on Canadian imports increase by 25% and lead times extend by 3-4 weeks?

Simulate a combined cost and lead time shock: 25% tariff increase on Canadian goods and 3-4 week delay for cross-border clearance or rerouting to alternative ports. Assess impact on total landed costs, inventory holding costs, service level performance, and cash flow. Calculate the cost-benefit of nearshoring versus absorbing tariff costs.

What if you must diversify 60% of your Canadian sourcing to Mexico or US domestic alternatives within 90 days?

Model a forced sourcing transition: 60% of current Canadian supplier volume must shift to Mexico, US domestic, or other USMCA partners within 90 days. Simulate procurement costs, supplier qualification timelines, capacity constraints at alternative suppliers, inventory build requirements during transition, and total cost of supply base change including onboarding and testing.