70% of Leaders Report Rising Supply Chain Risk from AI and Geopolitics
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The signal
A new KPMG International report commissioned across 109 senior executives globally shows that 70% of business leaders report increased risk exposure in their supply chains over the past two years. Technology and AI disruption tops the concern list at 64%, followed by geopolitical conflict at 58%. The report emphasizes that supply chain resilience is no longer just an operational function but a board-level strategic imperative, particularly as interconnected risks amplify disruption across shipping, financing, and industrial production.
The research highlights a critical vulnerability: 56% of respondents expect external disruptions involving geopolitical, energy, cyber, or climate factors to cause severe operational impact within three to five years. Yet only 28% of organizations have made energy security a strategic priority. Most worrying is the finding that traditional diversification strategies fail when multiple suppliers depend on the same maritime chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran tensions directly threaten global energy and freight flows.
Organizations are adopting advanced technologies to build resilience, with 49% prioritizing AI and predictive analytics, 44% investing in scenario planning, and 39% pursuing alternative sourcing. However, a confidence gap exists: 70% believe they can weather major disruptions, yet their actual preparedness and strategic prioritization lag significantly behind the stated risks.
How this affects:
Frequently Asked Questions
What This Means for Your Supply Chain
What if Strait of Hormuz shipping is disrupted for 6 months?
Simulate the impact of a 6-month disruption to maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, affecting energy shipments, freight costs, insurance premiums, and alternative routing through longer southern routes. Model cascading effects on energy prices, industrial production timelines, and supply chain financing availability.
Run this scenarioWhat if AI and digital systems fail across your supply chain network?
Model the impact of a widespread cyber disruption disabling AI-based demand forecasting, logistics optimization, and supplier visibility systems for 2-4 weeks. Simulate fallback to manual processes, visibility gaps, demand planning errors, and service level impacts.
Run this scenarioWhat if your primary supplier region experiences geopolitical instability?
Simulate a scenario where 30-40% of your suppliers in a critical region become unavailable due to geopolitical tension, forcing activation of alternative suppliers with higher costs, longer lead times, or reduced capacity. Model the impact on inventory policies, safety stock, and total landed cost.
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